During the coverage of Bengal elections, when I stopped to drink tea on the highway in North Dinajpur area of North Bengal, I thought that people sitting there should be talked about the election. There was a provision of breakfast along with tea at the shop. Two women were engaged in making potato vegetable and paratha at the shop in the morning. I asked didi this time vote for whom? The woman said ‘Bujte parbo na’ …. Then I said Modi or didi? The other woman said ‘speak parbo na’ but I asked the rest of the people sitting there why these two are not speaking, then people said that after the political violence done by the people of the ruling party in the 2018 panchayat elections, people are now speaking Are afraid One said that who will take a beating by speaking… We have decided what we want to do. This matter is not limited to Dinajpur only. This is the story of almost every area of Junglemahal, Darjeeling, Nadia or Malda, Bengal. People in Bengal avoided talking or were afraid.
Silent voter will play real
That is why I think Silent Voter is going to play an important role in Bengal elections. Perhaps this is the reason why even the biggest political pundit is afraid to assess the Bengal elections. This fear is due to these silent voters.
After visiting Bengal for more than 1 month and after talking to all the people, it seemed that there are some people who are neither talking openly to vote in favor of BJP, nor Mamata Banerjee’s government has another chance. Let’s talk about giving.
But in Bengal, when people ask who will form the government, the only answer they get is that. ‘Speak parbo na’. This means that I cannot say anything about it. Now our second question is, why can’t we speak? So people say that the matter is 50-50, that’s why we don’t speak ‘Parbo’.
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Political violence at its peak
Actually, most of the people in Bengal have been victims of political violence and this fear is forcing the people of Bengal to speak nothing. In the Panchayat elections of 2018, the people of Bengal faced tremendous violence. Around 80 people were killed during this election and no one knows how many people must have been injured. This was probably the first election in the history of Indian politics, where people were not even allowed to do the nomination, it was far from voting. After the intervention of the Election Commission, online nomination was allowed for the first time in Indian politics.
In this political violence, workers of Bijpi, Left and Congress were targeted. But most of the workers were killed by Bijpi. Silent voters of Bengal expressed this anger in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. No one even knew that Bijpi would win 18 out of 42 Lok Sabha seats in Bengal with 40 per cent of the vote. But due to the silent voters of Bengal, the impossible thing was possible.
The election results will be surprising
Today, even for the 2021 Legislative Assembly elections, big political pundits are referring to the formation of BJP or TMC government in Bengal by citing different equations. But this time too, like 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the results can come as a surprise, because most people are avoiding speaking in Bengal due to the fear of the ruling party.
‘Bolte parbo na’, then we heard the most people speaking, but in Bengal some people have such fear that they say ‘Bujhte parbo na’, that they do not understand anything, by making excuses for not understanding Hindi. That is what I want to ask them.
Silent voters will spoil TMC’s math
Now perhaps you must have understood that those who say ‘Bolte Parbo Na’ or ‘Bujte Parbo Na’ may not be supporters or voters of TMC, because of what they are afraid of. They have a government in Bengal. That is why it can be said that these silent voters of Bengal can spoil all the mathematics of Mamata Banerjee government in this Vidhan Sabha elections.
In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, Mamata Banerjee’s party got around 43% votes, while Bijpi got around 40% votes. In such a situation, swing of 1 to 2% vote can make or spoil anyone’s game. That is, Silent voters will play if they play real in Bengal elections.
(Author Ravi Tripathi is Senior Special Correspondent in Zee News)
(Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are the personal views of the author)